Perhaps you’ve been watching how many third world nations are getting more and more automobiles, building more roads, and then needing more oil. It’s almost as if the automobile sector globally supports the oil industry, construction industry, and capitalistic economic development. Whereas, it is true that communication and travel do help with economic development, and oil is necessary for an industrialized nation, at least in the present period – I still believe that we should be careful in listening to environmentalists who tell us that more cars in the world will be the death knell of humanity.
Okay so let’s talk about this if we might because I did read an interesting book not long ago, one which discussed the nearly hyperbolic growth of human populations, and specifically how that could not occur indefinitely considering the Earth has finite resources. Then it discussed some of the coming resource wars and societal instability over those resources. The name of the book is:
“Humans: An Endangered Species – The Only Solution” by Jason G. Brent, Self-Published, Las Vegas, NV, 2012, 121 pages, ISBN: 978-0-9854129-6.
The author notes; “China, India and the rest of the Third World will have an additional 300 to 600,000,000 cars and trucks in the near future; more cars and trucks in the USA; the population of the entire world is estimated to reach 9.4 billion in 2050 – more cars and trucks.”
Now then, it is also true if we look in Vietnam that they had incredible growth in the number of cars in their civilization, but eventually they had too many cars for the number of roads. Then people found there was a scarcity of fuel for those vehicles, and all they had were traffic jams. I don’t believe this is due to the fact that there were too many cars, rather due to the fact that they didn’t have decent planning, or proper land use.
Okay so, when it comes to China, India, and the rest of the Third World it is true that they will be buying more cars in the future, more than we could ever imagine considering that we only produce about 17 million cars here in the US, and that’s during our peak years. But before you worry about all of this, you should also realize that the cars being built in and/or for these Third World countries, many of these vehicles aren’t much bigger than a golf cart, they don’t use as much fuel, they don’t make as much pollution, and therefore they could have a ratio of 3-5 to 1 for every American car and still not use as much oil as we do here, nor are these people driving as far.
The desire for automobiles is something that will continue globally because humans like to travel, it seems to be a fun activity for them. The cost of oil will also increase, and they will find new ways to propel these vehicles, but I don’t think it is a doom and gloom scenario nor do I believe it is the future economic time bomb of humanity; cars are not evil nor is transportation and the next generation and innovation of automobiles will be with us shortly. There’s a lot of good going on, it’s not all bad. Please consider all this and think on it.